Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.268996 1.508000 1.759148 2.040993 2.346814 2.667103 3.026408
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.911380 1.236103 1.600766 2.033144 2.525006 3.061124 3.683921
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.688843 1.042514 1.461061 1.977591 2.584383 3.263001 4.068443
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.515886 0.879409 1.333628 1.916273 2.621181 3.427536 4.402187
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.398161 0.764034 1.245359 1.884293 2.676763 3.600106 4.732388
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.328181 0.701470 1.215078 1.916290 2.803198 3.851207 5.150317
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.264564 0.636672 1.173363 1.926832 2.897892 4.060527 5.516090
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.200591 0.558820 1.104821 1.895328 2.934646 4.196086 5.791377
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.183102 0.555337 1.140325 2.001141 3.144525 4.541811 6.317771
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.168628 0.554468 1.178158 2.109283 3.357141 4.891142 6.849235
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.158607 0.560022 1.224714 2.229042 3.584858 5.259565 7.404636
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.152467 0.571944 1.280544 2.361655 3.829643 5.649780 7.987447
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.126076 0.540994 1.272429 2.410965 3.975283 5.929636 8.453256
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095702 0.493584 1.234493 2.416300 4.062991 6.138586 8.835528
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061815 0.423602 1.151354 2.350069 4.050355 6.217347 9.054743
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036540 0.360750 1.072310 2.284136 4.033944 6.288328 9.262108
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021006 0.314702 1.016547 2.248180 4.054248 6.402592 9.519599
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014035 0.295171 1.008071 2.283757 4.172804 6.643159 9.934717
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007798 0.269979 0.985492 2.295321 4.256644 6.838106 10.292462
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002552 0.233881 0.935839 2.260545 4.273025 6.943741 10.536969
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002174 0.241355 0.979035 2.377337 4.506019 7.334241 11.142287
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001873 0.249334 1.023455 2.496454 4.742829 7.730407 11.755645
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001793 0.260547 1.075228 2.628077 4.998115 8.151571 12.401546